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  • Manufacturing data in the EZ, US and UK come in lower than expected however, this component of the economy continues to expand (just at a slower pace)
  • US and EZ inflation releases were in line with expectations and hence there is no change in our forecasted trajectory in short term interest rates
  • US and Eurozone Q3 GDP figures remain positive and above par (although they have fallen from their recent unsustainable peaks)
  • Securities markets have displayed a return to historical volatility norms in 2018 (see chart below)